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FORECASTER OF THE MONTH | ECONOMIC PREVIEW   | ECONOMIC REPORTS | CAPITOL REPORT

 

THIS WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS & fed speakers
time (et) report period ACTUAL MEDIAN
forecast
previous
MONDAY, NOV. 11
  No economic reports scheduled
Veterans Day holiday
       
8:15 am Eric Rosengren speaks        
TUESDAY, NOV. 12
5:30 am RIchard Clarida speaks        
6 am NFIB small-business index Oct. 102.4 -- 101.8
1 pm Patrick Harker speaks        
6 pm Neel Kashkari speaks        
WEDNESDAY, NOV. 13
8:30 am Consumer price index Oct. 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
8:30 am Core CPI Oct. 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
11 am Jerome Powell testifies        
11 am Household debt Q3   -- $13.9 tln
1:30 pm Neel Kashkari speaks        
2 pm Federal budget Oct.   -- -$100 bln
THURSDAY, NOV.  14
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 11/9 215,000 211,000
8:30 am Producer price index Oct. ` 0.3% -0.3%
9:10 am Charles Evans speaks        
9:10 am Richard Clarida speaks
10 am Jerome Powell testifies        
11:20am James Bullard speaks        
12 noon John Williams speaks        
FRIDAY, NOV. 15
8:30 am Retail sales Oct.   0.2% -0.3%
8:30 am Retail sales ex--autos Oct.   0.4% -0.1%
8:30 am Import prices ex-fuel Oct.   -- -0.1%
8:30 am Empire state index Nov.   -- 4.0
9:15 am Industrial production Oct. -0.5% -0.4%
9:15 am Capacity utilization Oct.   77.0% 77.5%
10 am Business inventories Sept.   -- 0.0%
 

next WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC reports & FED SPEAKERS
time (et) report period ACTUAL forecast previous
MONDAY, NOV. 18
10 am Home builders' index Nov.     71
TUESDAY, NOV. 19
8:30 am Housing starts Oct.     1.256mln
8:30 am Building permits Oct.     1.387mln
10 am Advance services Q3      
WEDNESDAY, NOV. 20
2 pm FOMC minutes        
THURSDAY, NOV.  21
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 11/16 218,000 211,000
8:30 am Philly Fed index Nov.     5.6
10 am Existing home sales Oct.     5.38mln
10 am Leading economic indicators Oct.     -0.1%
FRIDAY, NOV. 22
9:45 am Markit manufacturing PMI (flash) Nov.     51.3
9:45 am Markit services PMI (flash) Nov.     50.9
10 am Consumer sentiment index Nov.     95.7
 


LAST WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC reports & FED SPEAKERS
time (et) report period Actual forecast previous
MONDAY, NOV. 4
8:30 am Neel Kashkari interview        
10 am Factory orders Sept. -0.6% -0.4% -0.1%
2 pm Senior loan officer survey        
5 pm Mary Daly speaks
TUESDAY, NOV. 5
8 am Tom Barkin speaks        
8:30 am Trade deficit Sept. -$52.5bln -$52.4bln -$55.0bln
9:45 am Markit services PMI Oct. 50.6 -- 51.0
10 am ISM nonmanufacturing index Oct. 54.7% 53.8% 52.6%
10 am Job openings Sept. 7.0 mln -- 7.3 mln
12:40pm Rob Kaplan speaks        
6 pm Neel Kashkari speaks        
WEDNESDAY, NOV. 6
8 am Charles Evans speaks        
8:30 am Productivity Q3 -0.3% 0.6% 2.5%
8:30 am Unit labor costs Q3 3.6% 2.5% 2.4%
9:30 am John Williams speaks
6:30 pm John Williams speaks        
THURSDAY, NOV.  7
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 11/2 211,000 215.000 219,000
1 pm Rob Kaplan speaks        
3 pm Consumer credit Sept. $10 bln -- $18bln
7 pm Raphael Bostic speaks        
FRIDAY, NOV. 8
10 am Consumer sentiment index Nov. 95.7 95.0 95.5
10 am Wholesale inventories Sept. -0.4% -- 0.1%
11:45am Mary Daly speaks        
8 pm John Williams speaks        
8:30 pm Lael Brainard speaks        
 

GDP forecasts
DATE report period forecast previous
Jan. 30, 2020 GDP 4Q 1.5% 1.9% (Q3)
April 29, 2020 GDP Q1 1.3% 1.9% (Q3)
Jan. 30, 2020 GDP 2019 2.3% 2.5% (2018)
Jan. 2021 GDP 2020 1.5% 2.5% (2018)
 
 

The median forecasts that MarketWatch publishes each week in the economic calendar come from the forecasts of the 15 economists who have scored the highest in our contest over the past 12 months, as well as the forecasts of the most recent winner of the Forecaster of the Month contest.
The economists in our consensus  forecast: Ryan Sweet of Moody’s Analytics, Christophe Barraud of Market Securities, Jim O’Sullivan of High Frequency Economics, Ian Shepherdson of Pantheon Macro, Seth Carpenter’s team at UBS, Richard Moody of Regions Financial, Michelle Girard's team at NatWest Markets, Lou Crandall of Wrightson ICAP, Andrew Hollenhorst of Citigroup, Michael Feroli of J.P. Morgan Chase, Stephen Stanley of Amherst Pierpont Securities, Lewis Alexander's team at Nomura Securities.  Paul Ashworth's team at Capital Economics, Stephen Gallagher at Societe Generale,Michelle Meyer's team at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, and Chris Low of FHN Financial..
 

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