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FORECASTER OF THE MONTH | ECONOMIC PREVIEW   | ECONOMIC REPORTS | CAPITOL REPORT

 

THIS WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS & fed speakers
time (et) report period ACTUAL MEDIAN
forecast
previous
MONDAY, NOV. 18
10 am NAHB h ome builders' index Nov. 70 -- 71
12 noon Loretta Mester speaks        
TUESDAY, NOV. 19
8:30 am Housing starts Oct. 1.314mln 1.325mln 1.266mln
8:30 am Building permits Oct. 1.461mln 1.390mln 1.391mln
9 am John Williams speaks        
10 am Advance services Q3   1.4% 1.3%
WEDNESDAY, NOV. 20
2 pm FOMC minutes Oct.      
THURSDAY, NOV.  21
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 11/16 218,000 225,000
8:30 am Philly Fed index Nov.   -- 5.6
10 am Existing home sales Oct.   5.47 mln 5.38mln
10 am Leading economic indicators Oct.   -- -0.1%
10:10am Loretta Mester speaks        
10:10am Neel Kashkari speaks        
FRIDAY, NOV. 22
9:45 am Markit manufacturing PMI (flash) Nov.   -- 51.3
9:45 am Markit services PMI (flash) Nov.   -- 50.9
10 am Consumer sentiment index Nov.   95.7 95.7
 

next WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC reports & FED SPEAKERS
time (et) report period ACTUAL forecast previous
MONDAY, NOV. 25
8:30 am Chicago Fed national activity index Oct.      
TUESDAY, NOV. 26
8:30 am Advance trade in goods Oct.     -$70.4bln
9 am Case-Shiller home price index Sept.      
10 am Consumer confidence index Nov.     125.9
10 am New home sales Oct.     701,000
WEDNESDAY, NOV. 27
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 11/23    
8:30 am GDP revision Q3     1.9%
8:30 am Durable goods orders Oct.     -1.2%
8:30 am Core capex orders Oct.     -0.6%
9:45 am Chicago PMI Nov.     43.2
10 am Personal income Oct.     0.3%
10 am Consumer spending Oct.     0.2%
10 am Core inflation Oct.     0.0%
10 am Pending home sales index Oct.     1.5%
2 pm Beige book        
THURSDAY, NOV.  28
  None scheduled
Thanksgiving Day holiday
     
FRIDAY, NOV. 29
  None scheduled        
 


LAST WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC reports & FED SPEAKERS
time (et) report period Actual forecast previous
MONDAY, NOV. 11
  No economic reports scheduled
Veterans Day holiday
       
8:15 am Eric Rosengren speaks        
TUESDAY, NOV. 12
5:30 am Richard Clarida speaks        
6 am NFIB small-business index Oct. 102.4 -- 101.8
1 pm Patrick Harker speaks        
6 pm Neel Kashkari speaks        
WEDNESDAY, NOV. 13
8:30 am Consumer price index Oct. 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
8:30 am Core CPI Oct. 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
11 am Jerome Powell testifies        
11 am Household debt Q3 $14.0tln -- $13.9 tln
1:30 pm Neel Kashkari speaks        
2 pm Federal budget Oct. -$134bln -- -$100 bln
THURSDAY, NOV.  14
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 11/9 225,000 215,000 211,000
8:30 am Producer price index Oct. 0.4% 0.3% -0.3%
9:10 am Charles Evans speaks        
9:10 am Richard Clarida speaks
10 am Jerome Powell testifies        
11:20am James Bullard speaks        
12 noon John Williams speaks        
FRIDAY, NOV. 15
8:30 am Retail sales Oct. 0.3% 0.2% -0.3%
8:30 am Retail sales ex--autos Oct. 0.2% 0.4% -0.1%
8:30 am I mport prices ex-fuel Oct. -0.2% -- -0.1%
8:30 am Empire state index Nov. 2.9 -- 4.0
9:15 am Industrial production Oct. -0.8% -0.5% -0.4%
9:15 am Capacity utilization Oct. 76.7% 77.0% 77.5%
10 am Business inventories Sept. 0.0% -- -0.1%
 

GDP forecasts
DATE report period forecast previous
Jan. 30, 2020 GDP 4Q 1.5% 1.9% (Q3)
April 29, 2020 GDP Q1 1.3% 1.9% (Q3)
Jan. 30, 2020 GDP 2019 2.3% 2.5% (2018)
Jan. 2021 GDP 2020 1.5% 2.5% (2018)
 
 

The median forecasts that MarketWatch publishes each week in the economic calendar come from the forecasts of the 15 economists who have scored the highest in our contest over the past 12 months, as well as the forecasts of the most recent winner of the Forecaster of the Month contest.
The economists in our consensus  forecast: Ryan Sweet of Moody’s Analytics, Christophe Barraud of Market Securities, Jim O’Sullivan of High Frequency Economics, Ian Shepherdson of Pantheon Macro, Seth Carpenter’s team at UBS, Richard Moody of Regions Financial, Michelle Girard's team at NatWest Markets, Lou Crandall of Wrightson ICAP, Andrew Hollenhorst of Citigroup, Michael Feroli of J.P. Morgan Chase, Stephen Stanley of Amherst Pierpont Securities, Lewis Alexander's team at Nomura Securities.  Paul Ashworth's team at Capital Economics, Stephen Gallagher at Societe Generale, Michelle Meyer's team at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, and Chris Low of FHN Financial..
 

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