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The Technical Indicator
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Current Issue

  • Nov 19, 2019
    Technically speaking, the major U.S. benchmarks have sustained a break to record territory amid still conspicuously muted November selling pressure. Against this backdrop, the big three benchmarks remain near-term extended — and are due a cooling-off period, if not a corrective pullback — though the more important longer-term market bias remains comfortably bullish.

Past Issues

  • Nov 18, 2019
    U.S. stocks are mixed early Monday, largely treading water in the wake of decisive breakouts to conclude last week. Against this backdrop, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has slightly extended a rally atop the 28,000 mark, while the S&P 500 is digesting its latest spike to record territory.
  • Nov 15, 2019
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Friday, rising amid November price action that continues to shape up as technically consequential. In the process, the S&P 500 and Dow industrials have concurrently broken out, knifing to uncharted territory (again) from mid-month flag patterns.
  • Nov 14, 2019
    U.S. stocks are lower early Thursday, pressured after a mixed batch of key earnings reports and amid familiar trade-related uncertainty. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 and Dow industrials have pulled in from their latest record closes amid thus far still muted mid-month selling pressure.
  • Nov 13, 2019
    U.S. stocks are mixed early Wednesday, treading water amid Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s remarks to Congress. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have pulled in modestly from their latest record highs, while the Dow industrials rise slightly after registering an absolutely unchanged Tuesday session — a 0.00-point net change, to the decimal.
  • Nov 12, 2019
    Technically speaking, the U.S. benchmarks’ already-bullish bigger-picture backdrop continues to strengthen. On a headline basis, each big three benchmark has staged a decisive November breakout — confirming its uptrend — and has since flatlined, signaling still muted selling pressure amid healthy market rotation.
  • Nov 11, 2019
    U.S. stocks are lower early Monday, pressured after the U.S. tempered trade-progress expectations, and with the bond markets closed for Veterans Day. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 is digesting a decisive November breakout, a rally punctuated by three straight record closes to conclude last week.
  • Nov 8, 2019
    U.S. stocks are mixed early Friday, treading water in the wake of potentially consequential November breakouts. Against this backdrop, each big three benchmark is digesting a rally to all-time highs, a move punctuated by bullish market rotation — across sectors and asset classes — strengthening the bull case.
  • Nov 7, 2019
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Thursday, rising amid reports that China and the U.S. are close to an agreement that will cancel planned import tariffs. Against this backdrop, the major U.S. benchmarks have concurrently tagged all-time highs, staging bull-flag breakouts amid distinctly bullish early-November price action.
  • Nov 6, 2019
    U.S. stocks are mixed early Wednesday, treading water as the major benchmarks digest potentially consequential early-November breakouts. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has virtually flatlined mid-week, asserting a bullish holding pattern just under record highs.
  • Nov 5, 2019
    Technically speaking, the U.S. benchmarks’ already-bullish backdrop has strengthened amid a decisive November breakout. In the process, each big three benchmark has concurrently tagged all-time highs — and is traversing previously uncharted territory, capped by no true resistance — opening the path to potentially material longer-term follow-through.
  • Nov 4, 2019
    U.S. stocks are higher early Monday, rising amid continued signs of China-U.S. trade progress. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have extended November breakouts — rallies to record territory — while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is vying for its first record close since July.
  • Nov 1, 2019
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Friday, rising to start November after a strong monthly jobs report. In the process, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have concurrently taken flight — reaching all-time highs — while the Dow Jones Industrial Average has nailed next resistance at the September peak (27,306.73), nearly to the decimal.
  • Oct 31, 2019
    U.S. stocks are firmly lower early Thursday, pressured amid renewed concerns that a material China-U.S. trade agreement may be elusive. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have thus far maintained major support — at S&P 3,028 and Nasdaq 8,243 — with the turn of the month, and the best six months seasonally, set to start Friday.
  • Oct 30, 2019
    U.S. stocks are slightly lower early Wednesday, treading water ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy directive, and an expected interest-rate cut, due out this afternoon. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has maintained its breakout point (3,028) intraday, though the initial retest remains underway. The response to the Fed’s statement, and the session close, will likely add color.
  • Oct 29, 2019
    Technically speaking, the major U.S. benchmarks’ already-bullish backdrop continues to strengthen. On a headline basis, the S&P 500 has broken to record highs — and is traversing previously uncharted territory — while the Nasdaq Composite’s October peak has thus far missed an all-time high by just four points.
  • Oct 28, 2019
    U.S. stocks are higher early Monday, though off the session’s best levels, rising amid signs of China-U.S. trade progress and ahead of a widely-expected Federal Reserve interest rate cut mid-week. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has ventured atop major resistance (3,028), tagging an intraday all-time high. A close atop resistance would mark a break to uncharted territory, opening the path to potentially material intermediate-term follow-through.
  • Oct 25, 2019
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Friday, rising after a generally strong batch of earnings reports, despite Amazon’s headline-grabbing miss. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has asserted a jagged two-week uptrend, rising early Friday to challenge its record close (3,025.86) and absolute record peak (3,027.98).
  • Oct 24, 2019
    U.S. stocks are mixed early Thursday, treading water after a mixed batch of economic data and quarterly earnings reports. Against this backdrop, the major U.S. benchmarks have stabilized week-to-date, perhaps paradoxically flatlining as the third-quarter earnings season kicks in to full gear.
  • Oct 23, 2019
    U.S. stocks are slightly higher early Wednesday, rising after a mixed batch of quarterly earnings reports, and amid ongoing Brexit uncertainty. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 continues to act well technically, digesting the mid-October breakout in grinding-higher form.
  • Oct 22, 2019
    Technically speaking, the U.S. benchmarks’ bigger-picture backdrop remains bullish, and continues to strengthen, amid constructive October price action.
  • Oct 21, 2019
    U.S. stocks are higher early Monday, rising after weekend reports of China-U.S. trade progress from China’s top negotiator.
  • Oct 18, 2019
    U.S. stocks are lower early Friday, pulling in slightly as the major benchmarks digest otherwise constructive week-to-date price action. Against this backdrop, each big three U.S. benchmark has sustained its mid-October breakout — amid receding volatility — with the best six months seasonally just nine sessions away.
  • Oct 17, 2019
    U.S. stocks are higher early Thursday, rising amid reports that a tentative Brexit agreement has been reached. Against this backdrop, the major U.S. benchmarks are acting well technically, extending the mid-month break to a higher plateau.
  • Oct 16, 2019
    U.S. stocks are flattish early Wednesday, treading water after a generally strong batch of quarterly earnings reports combined with softer-than-expected retail sales data. Against this backdrop, the bigger-picture market technicals have strengthened this week, with each big three U.S. benchmark building on last week’s breakout.
Link to MarketWatch's Slice.