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Economic Calendar


FORECASTER OF THE MONTH | ECONOMIC PREVIEW   | ECONOMIC REPORTS | CAPITOL REPORT

 

THIS WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS & fed speakers
time (et) report period ACTUAL MEDIAN
forecast
previous
MONDAY, DEC. 9
  None scheduled        
TUESDAY, DEC. 10
6 am NFIB small-business index Nov. 104.7 -- 102.4
8:30 am Productivity revision Q3 -0.2% -0.1% -0.3%
8:30 am Unit labor costs revision Q3 2.5% 3.0% 3.6%
WEDNESDAY, DEC. 11
8:30 am Consumer price index Nov. 0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
8:30 am Core CPI Nov. 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
2 pm Federal budget Nov. -$209bln -- -$205bln
2 pm FOMC announcement   1.5-1.75% 1.5-1.75% 1.5-1.75%
2:30 pm Jerome Powell press conference        
THURSDAY, DEC. 12
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 12/7 252,000 220,000 203,000
8:30 am Producer price index Nov. 0.0% 0.2% 0.4%
12 noon Household net worth Q3 $113.8 trillion -- $113.3 trillion
FRIDAY, DEC. 13
8:30 am Retail sales Nov. 0.2% 0.5% 0.4%
8:30 am Retail sales ex-autos Nov. 0.1% 0.4% 0.3%
8:30 am Import prices ex-fuels Nov. -0.1% -- -0.2%
10 am Business inventories Oct. 0.2% -- -0.1%
11 am John Williams speaks        
 

next WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC reports & FED SPEAKERS
time (et) report period ACTUAL forecast previous
MONDAY, DEC. 16
8;30 am Empire state index Dec.   -- 2.9
9:45 am Markit manufacturing PMI (flash) Dec.   -- 52.6
9:45 am Markit services PMI (flash) Dec.   -- 51.6
10 am Homebuilders index Dec.   -- 70
TUESDAY, DEC. 17
8:30 am Housing starts Nov.   1.350mln 1.314mln
8:30 am Building permits Nov.   1.425mln 1.461mln
9:15 am Industrial production Nov.   1.2% -0.8%
9:15 am Capacity utilization Nov.   77.5% 76.7%
10 am Job openings Oct.   -- 7.0mln
WEDNESDAY, DEC. 18
  None scheduled      
THURSDAY, DEC. 19
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 12/14 236,000 252,000 
8;30 am Philly Fed Dec.   8.0 10.4
8:30 am Current account deficit Q3    
10 am Existing home sales Nov.   5.44mln 5.46mln
10 am Leading economic indicators Nov.   -- -0.1%
FRIDAY, DEC. 20
8:30 am GDP revision Q3   2.2% 2.1%
10 am Personal income Nov.   0.3% 0.0%
10 am Consumer spending Nov.   0.4% 0.3%
10 am Core inflation Nov.   0.1% 0.1%
10 am Consumer sentiment index Dec.   99.5 99.2
 


LAST WEEK'S MAJOR U.S. ECONOMIC reports & FED SPEAKERS
time (et) report period Actual forecast previous
MONDAY, DEC. 2
9:45 am Markit manufacturing PMI Nov. 52.6 -- 52.2
10 am ISM manufacturing index Nov. 48.1% 49.2% 48.3%
10 am Construction spending Oct. -0.8% 0.4% -0.3%
TUESDAY, DEC. 3
Varies Motor vehicle sales Nov. 17.1 mln 17.0mln 16.5 mln
WEDNESDAY, DEC. 4
8:15 am ADP employment Nov. 67,000 -- 121,000
9:45 am Markit services PMI Nov. 51.6 -- 51.6
10 am ISM nonmanufacturing index Nov. 53.9% 54.7% 54.7%
10 am Randal Quarles testifies        
THURSDAY, DEC. 5
8:30 am Weekly jobless claims 11/30 203,000 215,000 213,000 
8:30 am Trade deficit Oct. -$47.2bln -$48.5bln -$51.1bln
10 am Factory orders Oct. 0.3% 0.2% -0.8%
10 am Randal Quarles testifies        
FRIDAY, DEC. 6
8:30 am Nonfarm payrolls Nov. 266,000 180,000 156,000
8:30 am Unemployment rate Nov. 3.5% 3.6% 3.6%
8:30 am Average hourly earnings Nov. 0.2% 0.3% 0.4%
10 am Consumer sentiment index Dec. 99.2 96.9 96.8
10 am Wholesale inventories Oct. 0.1% -- -0.7%
3 pm Consumer credit Oct. $19 bln -- $9 bln
 

GDP forecasts
DATE report period forecast previous
Jan. 30, 2020 GDP 4Q 1.8% 2.1% (Q3)
April 29, 2020 GDP Q1 1.3% 2.1% (Q3)
Jan. 30, 2020 GDP 2019 2.3% 2.5% (2018)
Jan. 2021 GDP 2020 1.5% 2.5% (2018)
 
 

The median forecasts that MarketWatch publishes each week in the economic calendar come from the forecasts of the 15 economists who have scored the highest in our contest over the past 12 months, as well as the forecasts of the most recent winner of the Forecaster of the Month contest.
The economists in our consensus forecast: Ryan Sweet of Moody’s Analytics, Jim O’Sullivan of TD Securities (formerly at High Frequency Economics), Christophe Barraud of Market Securities, Seth Carpenter’s team at UBS, Andrew Hollenhorst of Citigroup, Ian Shepherdson of Pantheon Macro, Michelle Girard's team at NatWest Markets, Richard Moody of Regions Financial, Michael Feroli of J.P. Morgan Chase, Lewis Alexander's team at Nomura Securities, Lou Crandall of Wrightson ICAP, Stephen Stanley of Amherst Pierpont Securities, Jan Hatzius's team at Goldman Sachs, Chris Low of FHN Financial, and Michelle Meyer's team at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
 

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